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JACOBS

TABLE OF CONTENTS
2025.02.09-On-Overengineering
2025.02.02-On-Autocomplete
2025.01.26-On-The-Automated-Turkey-Problem
2025.01.19-On-Success-Metrics
2025.01.12-On-Being-the-Best
2025.01.05-On-2024
2024.12.29-On-Dragons-and-Lizards
2024.12.22-On-Being-a-Contrarian
2024.12.15-On-Sticky-Rules
2024.12.08-On-Scarcity-&-Abundance
2024.12.01-On-BirdDog
2024.11.24-On-Focus
2024.11.17-On-The-Curse-of-Dimensionality
2024.11.10-On-Skill-as-Efficiency
2024.11.03-On-Efficiency
2024.10.27-On-Binary-Goals
2024.10.20-On-Commitment
2024.10.13-On-Rules-Vs-Intuition
2024.10.06-On-Binding-Constraints
2024.09.29-On-Restrictive-Rules
2024.09.22-On-Conflicting-Ideas
2024.09.15-On-Vectors
2024.09.08-On-Perfection
2024.09.01-On-Signal-Density
2024.08.25-On-Yapping
2024.08.18-On-Wax-and-Feather-Assumptions
2024.08.11-On-Going-All-In
2024.08.04-On-Abstraction
2024.07.28-On-Naming-a-Company
2024.07.21-On-Coding-in-Tongues
2024.07.14-On-Sufficient-Precision
2024.07.07-On-Rewriting
2024.06.30-On-Hacker-Houses
2024.06.23-On-Knowledge-Graphs
2024.06.16-On-Authority-and-Responsibility
2024.06.09-On-Personal-Websites
2024.06.02-On-Reducing-Complexity
2024.05.26-On-Design-as-Information
2024.05.19-On-UI-UX
2024.05.12-On-Exponential-Learning
2024.05.05-On-School
2024.04.28-On-Product-Development
2024.04.21-On-Communication
2024.04.14-On-Money-Tree-Farming
2024.04.07-On-Capital-Allocation
2024.03.31-On-Optimization
2024.03.24-On-Habit-Trackers
2024.03.17-On-Push-Notifications
2024.03.10-On-Being-Yourself
2024.03.03-On-Biking
2024.02.25-On-Descoping-Uncertainty
2024.02.18-On-Surfing
2024.02.11-On-Risk-Takers
2024.02.04-On-San-Francisco
2024.01.28-On-Big-Numbers
2024.01.21-On-Envy
2024.01.14-On-Value-vs-Price
2024.01.07-On-Running
2023.12.31-On-Thriving-&-Proactivity
2023.12.24-On-Surviving-&-Reactivity
2023.12.17-On-Sacrifices
2023.12.10-On-Suffering
2023.12.03-On-Constraints
2023.11.26-On-Fear-Hope-&-Patience
2023.11.19-On-Being-Light
2023.11.12-On-Hard-work-vs-Entitlement
2023.11.05-On-Cognitive-Dissonance
2023.10.29-On-Poetry
2023.10.22-On-Gut-Instinct
2023.10.15-On-Optionality
2023.10.08-On-Walking
2023.10.01-On-Exceeding-Expectations
2023.09.24-On-Iterative-Hypothesis-Testing
2023.09.17-On-Knowledge-&-Understanding
2023.09.10-On-Selfishness
2023.09.03-On-Friendship
2023.08.27-On-Craftsmanship
2023.08.20-On-Discipline-&-Deep-Work
2023.08.13-On-Community-Building
2023.08.05-On-Decentralized-Bottom-Up-Leadership
2023.07.29-On-Frame-Breaks
2023.07.22-On-Shared-Struggle
2023.07.16-On-Self-Similarity
2023.07.05-On-Experts
2023.07.02-The-Beginning

WRITING

"if you have to wait for it to roar out of you, then wait patiently."

- Charles Bukowski

Writing is one of my oldest skills; I started when I was very young, and have not stopped since. 

Age 13-16 - My first recorded journal entry was at 13 | Continued journaling, on and off.

Ages 17-18 - Started writing a bit more poetry, influenced heavily by Charles Bukwoski | Shockingly, some of my rather lewd poetry was featured at a county wide youth arts type event | Self published my first poetry book .

Age 19 - Self published another poetry book | Self published a short story collection with a narrative woven through it | Wrote a novel in one month; after considerable edits, it was long listed for the DCI Novel Prize, although that’s not that big of a deal, I think that contest was discontinued.

Age 20 - Published the GameStop book I mention on the investing page | Self published an original poetry collection that was dynamically generated based on reader preferences | Also created a collection of public domain poems with some friend’s and I’s mixed in, was also going to publish it with the dynamic generation, but never did.

Age 21 - Started writing letters to our hedge fund investors, see investing.

Age 22 - Started a weekly personal blog | Letters to company Investors, unpublished. 

Age 23 - Coming up on one year anniversary of consecutive weekly blog publications  | Letters to investors, unpublished.

You can use the table of contents to the left or click here to check out my blog posts.

Last Updated 2024.06.10

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2025.01.12

LXXXII

I’ve written both about the power of focus and the difference between building a business that is a dragon vs building one that is a lizard.

Now, I’m writing somewhere in between those two about how getting really good at one thing can help you win more than being okay at a bunch of things.

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Naval’s Wisdom

There is a Naval quote that I really like. 

I think it captures a lot of valuable information about how you should function in a competitive environment. (Most relevant environments are competitive.)

However, the quote actually bothered me a bit, because, until recently, I never really felt like I was taking that advice. I think that I always had a sort of ill defined idea of what I did that I could be best at.

Now, with BirdDog, we are getting a much more clear about that.

The Intuition

It’s not just Naval who talks about this idea of becoming the best at something.

I. MonopoliesPeter Thiel always talks about having a monopoly in a narrowly defined market being a stronger position than selling a commodity in a widely defined market. To build the intuition, Facebook started by hopscotching from university to university, saturating each campus before it was more widely adopted. 



Caption: Xero Shoes is really good at making basic, barefoot sandals. For a long time, they only did that before adding in other shoes. Photo is three pairs from three different wearers.

II. Perfectionism

Josh Waitzkin also writes about this in The Art of Learning. He went from not knowing anything about Tai Chi to becoming a world champion in the short span of 2 or so years. He talks about the success there being related to focusing on one move very aggressively and perfecting it, and then building out his repertoire in a “circle” around that move. 

III. Jiu Jitsu

Likewise, at my home jiu jitsu gym, Final Round in Ann Arbor, they taught leg locks and wrestling when those things were not as readily taught elsewhere. After training there, I’ve been to gyms where leg locks are not taught and people with a year of training tap when they think I’m even remotely close to having a leg submission, even though sometimes I’m not.

Competitive Context

The last example makes the point strongest–to get boosted returns, you don’t even have to be great at something if everybody else sucks at it. 

That being said, you don’t want to get good at biting in jiu jitsu, because that’s not a valuable thing in that context. It will get you disqualified, it will not win a match for you.

The thing that gives you the edge still has to be inherently valuable.

The Everything Company

A strategy that is very different from becoming the best at one thing is being okay at everything. Or, in current English, being all around “mid.”

One company in our space right now, Apollo io*, is attempting to become “the everything” tool for sales organizations. 

They had started their business out by steeply undercutting Zoominfo’s** pricing on contact data. The thing is, they were never the “best” at getting the contact data.

Now, Apollo keeps pushing new features so that they can attempt to replace other sales tools and become a sort of central hub for all things a sales team might need to use. 

Nobody I’ve talked to is really using them as a central hub. Most people maybe use them for contact data or sequencing. 

If I had to place a bet, I don’t think that they will succeed at being the everything tool and replacing CRMs. It seems like you’d be trading quality for ease of use (visa vi centralization). I think sometimes people do that, but not when the quality is this low. 

Interestingly enough, this is a common temptation in the sales tools space to drift into the “everything tool” because everyone is so “upset” about the sharply disjoint tooling. This was a conclusion we came to in our last venture, that the natural consequence of what we were doing was to become a CRM or everything tool. 

Now, I no longer think that is the best strategy, or even a particularly good one. If anything, it may be a tarpit. It’s certainly a tarpit if you try to get their by being okay at everything.

Unless, of course, the thing you’re best at is centralizing and integrating other tools, which seems like it could be what Clay is doing. But vaguely, I also wonder if perhaps HubSpot is doing that in a less technically flashy way. I don’t know. It’s quite complicated.

*,**I don’t hyperlink competitors

Epistemology

In sharp contrast to our competitors who appear to be married to the sales and marketing space, I view BirdDog as an endeavor in epistemology, or, less, pretentiously, an endeavor in knowing about knowing things. 

Why knowing about knowing things vs just knowing things? For the same reason that you’d want to be able to build a nuclear reactor rather than to own five. Succinctly, if you just “know” things, you: 

  1. Don’t know how to tell if those things are actually wrong.

  2. Don’t necessarily know how to know more things. 

I think knowing about knowing things protects you from the danger of getting information from someone else that (a) could be wrong and (b) will grow stale unless you go back to them for more.

So, we are a company dedicated to finding and synthesizing information about the world. An immediate, relevant consequence of this is that before we would “feature creep” and add sequencing and crm like features to try to become an everything tool, we would sell into a different space, like consultants or researchers or asset managers. 

Circling back to Naval and Thiel and Waitzkin, we certainly are not the best in the world at knowing about knowing things. That is very hard. However, if we redefined what we do, as Naval recommends, I don’t think it’s so hard to become the best in the world at:

Somewhat Abstractly - Knowing about knowing useful things for sales people related to their prospect companies.

More Concretely - Finding information about target companies that helps salespeople connect with the right prospect at the right time in a relevant, human way. 

I don’t think any of our mature competitors are myopically focused on our concrete goal. And, based on the product of less mature competitors, it seems they are typically more focused on end to end automation and simply booking meetings than we are.

If nobody else is really trying to be the best at this thing, that is good for us, especially if it is a valuable thing, which we believe it is.

Security Through Obscurity

I am being intentionally vague about a lot here. BirdDog is still a fledgling, vulnerable company. While we believe we have an edge right now, we don’t want to spell out the practical, technical reasons why before that edge is solidified. 

To make it more real, you can check out a comparison I did between BirdDog and one of Apollo’s features that is supposed to do the thing that we want to get good at (concretely) but performs much more poorly than our tool. 

I think the reason why is because they’ve compressed “Knowing about knowing useful things for sales people related to their prospect companies” into “Knowing useful things for sales people related to their prospect companies.”

You can either take that statement or leave it… please excuse any perceived mysticism and obscurity for paranoia about competitors. 

Either I’ll share more of our working theory as we shore up our position, or we won’t shore up our position and it doesn’t matter. (If we fail to execute, I wouldn’t be a good person to parse out what went wrong, whether it be the above ideas or some other element, until I succeeded to execute on some other sufficiently related thing.)

Live Deeply, 


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